The markets have fallen about 14 pc from the top. Now, what is the market trying to tell us. Lets have a fundamental and technical check of the markets. The markets are always ahead of the real economy. The situation we see in the markets now will reflect on the ground 6 months later.1. The job market in the Sales and marketing sector has begun to dry up. This is an actual experience shared by someone I know. This implies companies have already begun...
Saturday, 29 January 2011
Sunday, 23 January 2011
Markets: Where are they headed to?
Posted on 07:57 by Unknown
Lots of news flow this week. Results, rumors about Rate Hikes, cabinet reshuffles, it was the full monty. What is in store in the next truncated week with expiry as well as the RBI policy?1. Its going to be fun. The RBI policy is just 1 day to expiry. Expectations are 50bps rate hike. Anything less markets should rally.2. The fall will come in the next series. The Bollinger Bands are opening up indicating downsides to 5488, after a pause.3. A lower top is in place. By this, I mean 6339-5690-6188-5624. The up move will be corrective only.4. The...
Wednesday, 19 January 2011
Cabinet Reshuffle
Posted on 05:52 by Unknown
First look suggests Manmohan Singh is looking at elections in 2014.Young and dynamic performers given good portfolios. The corrupt or perceived to be corrupt are being sidelined by given side portfolios. Prime example is MS Gill Statistics Ministry.NCP cut down to size by promoting Praful Patel and moving him from plum Civil Aviation to Heavy Industries.Immediate impact:Murli Deora removal may affect a certain business house to which he is perceived to be close.Flat or maybe upside. I feel no major influence on marke...
Monday, 17 January 2011
Follow-up on How to Interpret the Fall
Posted on 16:47 by Unknown
I had spoken about the various stocks and how much each fell to find a co-relation between the fall and sectors.Lakshmi has done a follow-up on charts. Here is the link.http://vipreetinvestments.blogspot.com/2011/01/underperforming-outperforming.htmlHere is an interesting Panel Discussion that readers in Mumbai may want to attend:With the purpose of spreading awareness among Market Participants, in association with Eco Ashram, we are organizing a Panel Discussion on the topic “Stock Markets or Rigged Casinos?” on 21st of January 2011 at "Y. B....
Sunday, 16 January 2011
How to interpret the fall: A different take of it
Posted on 00:16 by Unknown

Every time we look at charts to interpret the rise and fall of the market. Today, lets try something different. Lakshmi Ramchandran (Reigning the Nifty through Technical Analysis) and myself have taken the Top 10 index heavy weights which constitute the 50 pc of the Nifty composition and seen how they have performed in this fall.Time permitting Lakshmi will publish Bank Charts on her blog.Banks have been badly butchered. SBI down 28 pc, ICICI Bank...
Thursday, 13 January 2011
How to play the Crude Story: ONGC v/s Cairn
Posted on 16:49 by Unknown
Crude oil prices have shot through the roof and are trading at 92 dollars per barrel. How do we play this rise? I had done a guest post for Subhankar's blog, here is the link:http://investmentsfordummieslikeme.blogspot.com/2011/01/oil-is-on-boil-how-can-investors.h...
Wednesday, 12 January 2011
Interesting 10 comparative returns on Gold, Silver and Sensex
Posted on 16:53 by Unknown

Below is a 10 year study of CAGR (Compounded Annual growth Rate) by Haresh Soneji (hareshsoneji@gmail.com).It is a eye-open...
Sunday, 9 January 2011
Stick to Basic Moving Averages (Post by Shail)
Posted on 07:19 by Unknown
In this series of articles we will take you through some basic technical indicators and how they have performed in last four years, during these four years we have seen Indian stock market touching all time highs and then correcting to about one third of their peak value and again gaining to late 2007 levels.Part one of the series is dedicated to a very common yet powerful indicator class called Moving Average, which is more popularly known in two...
Thursday, 6 January 2011
January Tops
Posted on 06:05 by Unknown
Last year I had done a study how we get Tops in Jan and Feb and its best to wait to enter the markets if we are fresh investors.I am re-posting the link here for your benefit and adding a update for last year.http://money-manthan.blogspot.com/2010/03/2-years-back-we-had-done-statistical.htmlLast year the market topped on Jan 6th at 5310. The bottom Feb 8th was 4675. A fall of 12 pc.So, hold your horses, if you go by history.Thanks Vishal for prodding me to dig into th...
Saturday, 1 January 2011
January: Historically not a very good month
Posted on 22:02 by Unknown

January historically is associated quite a few times with significant tops. Lets look at the images below.1. January as Compared to the last trading day of December has given just 4 positive closes. Out of these only in 2001 and 2006, the closes have been substantially higher. In 2001, March was a month of heavy correction and in 2006, May was a month of total collapse in the markets.2. In all the years, the low has always been below the close of...
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